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Apple's China sales in focus ahead of earnings
  + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( Kif Leswing | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
In February, Apple said it expected sales similar to last year's $94.84 billion during the same period and flat iPhone sales. In the December quarter, sales dropped 13% in Greater China, which includes Hong Kong and Taiwan. Analysts polled by FactSet expect $15.25 billion in China regional sales, which would be a 14% year-over-year decline. "In strong iPhone cycles, Apple's China revenues typically grow much faster than Apple overall, as Chinese consumers embrace the new phone," Sacconaghi wrote. Meanwhile, state statistics show iPhone sales falling 33% in February, the second consecutive month of declining shipments.
Persons: Tim Cook, Deirdre O'Brien, Apple, AAPL, Bernstein, Toni Sacconaghi, Sacconaghi, David Vogt, Aaron Rakers, There's, Morgan Stanley, Erik Woodring, Woodring Organizations: Apple, Analysts, FactSet, Huawei, Chinese Communist Party, Counterpoint Research, UBS Locations: China, Greater China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, repurchases
Apple is probably shutting down its electric car project in favor of some big bets on artificial intelligence, according to UBS. AAPL YTD mountain Apple shares this year The UBS report came after Bloomberg reported on Tuesday that the iPhone maker is reportedly axing its decade-long venture to build an electric vehicle. Among the potential upcoming AI announcements, Vogt is bracing for Apple CEO Tim Cook to debut a new processor in the iPhone 16 supporting AI, and a new AI or large language model feature on the iOS 18 operating system. UBS also anticipated updates to "Siri" and "Messages" that would enable new features, such as summaries of incoming texts. There are some financial downsides to Apple in halting its car venture, Vogt said.
Persons: David Vogt, Vogt, Tim Cook, Siri, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Apple, UBS, company's, Bloomberg
Some Wall Street firms are sounding the alarm on Apple heading into the iPhone maker's earnings after the bell Thursday. Some analysts are bracing for soft iPhone numbers and a potential guide down in March's forecast. AAPL YTD mountain Apple shares year to date Apple's earnings report comes as the technology giant lags its mega-cap peers and the overall market. Apple shares are flat on the year, while the S & P 500 is up 2.5% in that time. Despite these fears, the firm remains bullish on the stock over the long run, sticking with its buy rating.
Persons: Tim Long, Tesla, Long, David Vogt, Apple, William Power, Baird Organizations: Barclays, Apple, UBS, Mar Locations: China
Analyst Ronald Epstein downgraded the stock to neutral from buy and lowered his price target to $225 from $255. The new price target implies just 5% upside from Wednesday's close. Analyst Jed Kelly has an outperform rating and $44 price target on shares, implying 14.4% upside potential since Thursday's close. Analyst Wamsi Mohan reiterated his buy rating on the stock and raised his price target to $200 from $170. Analyst Michael Sison lowered his price target to $69 from $85, implying just 7.5% upside from Wednesday's close.
Persons: Hertz, Ronald Epstein, Epstein, — Hakyung Kim, Oppenheimer, Jed Kelly, Kelly, DraftKings, aren't, Wamsi Mohan, Mohan, JPMorgan's Brian Essex, David Vogt, Essex, Vogt, Wells, DuPont Wells, , Michael Sison, Sison, Kim, Downside, Tesla, Tesla's, Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas, Jonas, Joseph Spak, inched, TSLA, Spak, Goldman Sachs, Mark Delaney, Dan Levy, Levy, Colin Langan, Langan, Toni Sacconaghi, Bernstein, JPMorgan downgrades, Ryan Brinkman, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Tesla, EV, Hertz, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Boeing, Alaska Airlines, of America, Federal Aviation Administration, FAA, IBM, UBS, PTI, bps, DuPont, DuPont de Nemours, Barclays, JPMorgan downgrades Hertz Locations: Alaska, Draftkings, Essex, Wednesday's, Wells Fargo, China, 2H24, Europe
Investment bank UBS recently rolled out a slew of stocks the firm says are its best ideas in 2024. CNBC Pro combed through UBS research to find stocks that are must-owns with 2024 underway. They include Target, Teck Resources , General Motors, Dell and CrowdStrike. Dell Dell shares are too cheap to ignore, according to analyst David Vogt, who named the stock his top pick for 2024 in a recent note. Dell "Dell as end mkt recovery & share repo should drive outperformance.
Persons: David Vogt, Vogt, Dell, Teck, Curt Woodworth, Woodworth, Michael Lasser, Lasser, Organizations: UBS, CNBC, Target, General Motors, Dell, Dell Dell, Teck Resources UBS, Teck Resources Locations: Teck Resources, Teck, CY24
Preorders for Apple 's $3,499 Vision Pro headset began Thursday morning ahead of its U.S. release on Feb. 2. The Vision Pro is Apple's first new product category since it released the Apple Watch in 2015. Wall Street doesn't expect Apple to sell it in the same quantities as it does its other products, like the iPhone, Apple Watch and Mac, at least not at first. UBS' David Vogt estimates Apple could generate about $1.4 billion in revenue from the Vision Pro in 2024, assuming Apple ships about 400,000 handsets. The entry-level Vision Pro comes with 256GB of storage and the same M2 chip that Apple includes in some of its Macs.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Erik Woodring, David Vogt, Apple's Organizations: Apple, Apple Watch, UBS, Vision, Worldwide Developers
He also lowered his price target by $6 to $120, implying just 3.9% upside from Tuesday's close. Analyst Shaun Kelley has a $40 price target on shares, implying shares could gain 11.4% from Tuesday's close. Rivian shares jumped more than 7% after the company increased its production forecast for the full year by 2,000 units to 54,000. Datadog shares have produced zero return over the past three years, Murphy noted, with shares down 9% since Oct. 15, 2020. UBS has a neutral rating on Apple and a price target of $190 per share, which implies upside of 4.5%.
Persons: Cowen downgrades Estee, TD Cowen, Estee Lauder, Oliver Chen, Chen, — Hakyung Kim, Shaun Kelley, Kelley, Goldman, Goldman Sachs, Neil Mehta, Mehta, There's, Colin Langan, Langan, Piper Sandler, Alexander Potter, Potter, Rivian, Mark Delaney, Morgan Stanley, Jonas, Mark Murphy, Murphy, David Vogt, Vogt, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Tech, UBS, JPMorgan, Revenue, Asia, Bank of America, Industry, Mehta ., Wall Street, Rivian, pullbacks, Pro, Pro Max, Apple Locations: China, Asia Pacific, Europe, Middle East, Africa, Tuesday's, U.S
A pullback in Apple stock can largely be attributed to a potential fourth-straight quarter of declining revenue expected to be reported early next month, in addition to increased competition in China, according to analysts. Given its $2.7 trillion market capitalization, Apple is the largest company in the U.S. and thus a stock market bellwether. AAPL 5D mountain Apple stock. Nispel also pointed to headwinds in China stemming from increased competition from Huawei as being a potential drag on the stock recently. Reitzes also pointed to concerns about the China business as well as geopolitical issues weighing on the broader market as headwinds afflicting Apple.
Persons: Tim Cook, Brandon Nispel, they've, Nispel, Ben Reitzes, Reitzes, Huawei's, David Vogt, Apple, They're, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Apple, KeyBanc, Huawei, Jefferies, Wall, UBS Locations: China, U.S
Beware of these expensive stocks that analysts don't like
  + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +8 min
For context, the longer-term P/E ratio for the past 12 months of the S & P 500 is about 21 times trailing earnings. That compares to a five-year average P/E ratio of 19.87. The life insurer's 12-month trailing P/E ratio came in at 31.99, compared to its five-year average P/E ratio of 13.62. For context, the longer-term P/E ratio for the past 12 months of the S&P 500 is about 21 times trailing earnings. The life insurer's 12-month trailing P/E ratio came in at 31.99, compared to its five-year average P/E ratio of 13.62.
Persons: JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic, David Vogt, Tyson Foods, Jefferies, Henry Schein, Michael Bloom, Darla Mercado, Angela Weiss, HSIC Henry Schein, MOH Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, CNBC Pro, IBM, UBS, Premier U.S, Tyson, Prudential Financial, Jefferies, Prudential, CNBC, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Molina Healthcare, Pinnacle West, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, AFP, Getty, Business Machines Corp, Healthcare, Progressive Corp, Pinnacle West Capital Corp, TSN Tyson Foods, Business Machines Corp IBM, Target Premier U.S, Tyson Foods Inc TSN, Prudential Financial Inc
He highlighted the enhanced photo capabilities on Pro models and called the new double tap feature the most notable upgrade to the Apple Watch. Many analysts expected hikes around $100 and $200 for the beefed up Pro and Pro Max iterations. Apple essentially delivered a $100 price hike on the Pro Max by doing away with the lower storage option. He noted that the hike on the Pro Max skewed to the low end of the Wall Street firm's expectation range. Evercore ISI's Amit Daryanani regarded the event as "mildly disappointing" for bulls hoping for a Pro price increase.
Persons: Toni Sacconaghi, Canaccord Genuity's Michael Walkley, Goldman Sachs, Michael Ng, Wells, Aaron Rakers, Pro Max, iPhones, Atif Malik, Evercore ISI's Amit Daryanani, David Vogt, Samik Chatterjee, Erik Woodring's, Morgan, Apple, Woodring, Sacconaghi, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Apple, Apple Watch, Wall, Pro, Citi, UBS Locations: China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS' David Vogt on Apple earnings preview: We're a little concerned about iPhone demand trendsDavid Vogt, UBS enterprise hardware and networking analyst, joins 'Squawk Box' to preview Apple's quarterly earnings results, why he recently downgrade the stock to neutral from a buy, and more.
Persons: David Vogt Organizations: UBS, Apple
He told CNBC's "Tale of the Tape" that the superior technology of the Vision Pro compared to other virtual reality and augmented reality headsets justifies its high price. When asked about Meta's strategy and whether the $299 Quest could compete with Apple's Vision Pro, he said that the two companies are pursuing different approaches. Despite the excitement surrounding Apple's Vision Pro, other analysts have urged caution . AAPL META 1Y line Expected to hit the market in 2024, Apple's Vision Pro allows users to interact with content and popular iPhone apps without a controller. Although the Vision Pro is unlikely to produce tens of billions in sales immediately, Uerkwitz remains optimistic about the device's value creation over the long run.
Persons: Andrew Uerkwitz, David Vogt, Uerkwitz, it's, Jefferies, Tom Forte, DA Davidson, Forte, Davidson, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Apple, Jefferies, Apple's, Mac, UBS, Apple Watch, Unity, Pro, DA, VR, Meta Locations: Switzerland
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIndia is a difficult market for Apple to crack, says UBS' David VogtUBS's David Vogt and CNBC's Steve Kovack join 'The Exchange' to discuss softening growth for Apple's iPhone sales, gauging Apple's demand in emerging markets, and more.
Persons: David Vogt, CNBC's Steve Kovack Organizations: Apple, UBS
UBS downgraded Apple shares to neutral from buy late Monday, saying iPhone demand is likely to remain under pressure despite growth in emerging markets. Apple shares closed Monday at a record high of $183.79. Vogt increased his price target to $190, but said the potential shareholder return doesn't justify a buy rating, especially given its "softer fundamentals." The analyst expects to see iPhone unit growth fall 1% to 2% in the second half of this year. Meanwhile, surveys done by UBS suggest that consumers seem less likely to buy a new iPhone in the next 12 months.
Persons: David Vogt, Vogt Organizations: UBS, Apple Locations: U.S, China, Europe, Japan
Most Wall Street analysts like what they're seeing from Apple , viewing the iPhone maker's better-than-expected results as a sign of resilience and its continued ability to deliver even in a tough environment. Apple rose 2% in the premarket after posting earnings that beat expectations, driven by stronger-than-expected iPhone sales. Chatterjee has an overweight rating on Apple and a price target that implies upside of 14.6%. Softening demand 'casts a cloud' Despite the company's better-than-feared results, some analysts do expect volatility ahead. UBS analyst David Vogt reiterated his buy rating on the stock but said softening demand "likely casts a cloud on the stock near term."
As speculation grows over the possibility Apple is working on a foldable iPhone or tablet, UBS took a look at the boost the company could get from such a device. The technology giant received a patent Tuesday for electronic devices with display and touch sensor structures, with the patent abstract specifically noting a "foldable electronic device" that might have a "flexible transparent wall portion that joins planar transparent walls." Drawings submitted with the application show "an electronic device with multiple foldable sections," Vogt said. Vogt said that a foldable smartphone could help Apple's rate of customers purchasing and upgrading. The company missed analyst expectations for iPhone revenue in its fourth quarter , while major retailers in China cut prices.
Apple CEO Tim Cook speaks at an Apple special event at Apple Park in Cupertino, California on September 7, 2022. (Photo by Brittany Hosea-Small / AFP) (Photo by BRITTANY HOSEA-SMALL/AFP via Getty Images)Analysts expect Apple to post its first year-over-year revenue decline since 2019's March quarter when it reports earnings on Thursday. Apple gave a rare warning to investors that month explaining that production issues would result in lower shipments than "previously expected." The smartphone market saw an 18% decline in shipments in the fourth quarter, according to IDC, the worst decline ever recorded by the market research firm. The PC market fell 28% in the fourth quarter, according to the company.
IPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max ship times in the U.S. have started slipping past Christmas, according to Apple's website and financial analysts. On Wednesday, checks by CNBC on Apple's U.S. website showed a shipping date of Dec. 27 for several iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max models. "While wait times had steadily moved higher in the prior surveys, the most recent data has hit an extreme level in our view," Vogt wrote. However, Apple's less expensive iPhone 14 and iPhone 14 Plus have no wait times on Apple's website and can be purchased immediately, which suggests that some consumers might decide to trade down in order to get their devices under the Christmas tree on time. "However, we now expect lower iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max shipments than we previously anticipated and customers will experience longer wait times to receive their new products," Apple said.
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